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Forecasting Daily Water Consumption: a Case Study in Torun, Poland

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Tartalom: https://pp.bme.hu/ci/article/view/11930
Archívum: PP Civil Engineering
Gyűjtemény: Technical Notes
Cím:
Forecasting Daily Water Consumption: a Case Study in Torun, Poland
Létrehozó:
Piasecki, Adam
Jurasz, Jakub
Kaźmierczak, Bartosz
Kiadó:
Budapest University of Technology and Economics
Dátum:
2018-04-17
Tartalmi leírás:
This paper presents Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) methods for predicting future daily water consumption values based on three antecedent records of water consumption and humidity forecast for a given day, which are considered as independent variables. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is obtained for different configurations of the input sets and of the ANN model structure. Additionally, sets of explanatory variables are enhanced with dummy variables indicating typical days: working day, Saturday, Sunday/public holidays. The results indicated the superiority of the ANN approach over MLR, although the observed difference in performance was very limited.
Nyelv:
angol
Típus:
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Formátum:
application/pdf
Azonosító:
10.3311/PPci.11930
Forrás:
Periodica Polytechnica Civil Engineering; Vol 62 No 3 (2018); 818-824
1587-3773
0553-6626
Kapcsolat:
Létrehozó:
Copyright (c) 2018 Periodica Polytechnica Civil Engineering