The Alliance dilemma of the Gulf States after the Obama presidency
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Tartalom: http://journals.lib.uni-corvinus.hu/index.php/cojourn/article/view/113
Archívum: CJIA
Gyűjtemény: Articles
Cím:
The Alliance dilemma of the Gulf States after the Obama presidency
Létrehozó:
Szalai, Máté
Kiadó:
Institute of International Studies, Corvinus University of Budapest
Dátum:
2018-02-02
Tartalmi leírás:
The article aims at explaining the alliance choices of the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council after the Obama Presidency from a theoretical point of view. During the last eight years, Saudi Arabia and its neighbours felt neglected by Washington and considered the US commitment to guarantee their security to be weakened. Using a modified version of a “balance of interests” model, the study presents four possible scenarios available to Gulf states in the post-Obama era and analyses them through the lenses of probability and durability. Saudi Arabia has already stepped up and become more pro-active in recent years, but the economic sustainability of its current foreign policy is highly questionable. While in the short term it is likely that US foreign policy will accept the Gulf countries’ strategic considerations under the Trump presidency, the presence of Washington will probably decrease over time. That is why, in the long term, the GCC has to either find a new protector or redefine its role in the regional status quo.
Nyelv:
angol
Típus:
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
Formátum:
application/pdf
Azonosító:
10.14267/cojourn.2017v2n2a1
Forrás:
Corvinus Journal of International Affairs; Vol 2, No 2-3 (2017): Recent Developments in the Middle East; 3-18
2498-5570
Kapcsolat:
Létrehozó:
Copyright (c) 2018 Máté Szalai